Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Ferrol
20.4%
Draw
66.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Ferrol
vs
1.95
Almeria
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.7%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.0%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).