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AHT: 03CSV

31 Jul 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.4%
Nancy
17.3%
Draw
71.4%
Toulouse

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Nancy

vs
2.10

Toulouse

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
0-2
13.8%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).