Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Ath Bilbao
22.5%
Draw
19.5%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.04
Almeria
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).