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22 Oct 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.6%
Reggiana
21.3%
Draw
67.1%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Reggiana

vs
2.07

Venezia

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.7%
0-1
11.3%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).