Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Lorient
21.3%
Draw
18.7%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Lorient
vs
0.90
Nantes
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).