Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.1%
Scunthorpe
13.7%
Draw
9.2%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10
Scunthorpe
vs
1.07
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.592.4%
Over 2.578.5%
Over 3.559.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
4-1
6.4%
4-0
6.0%
1-1
5.6%
3-2
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
5-1
3.9%
5-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).