Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Morecambe
27.3%
Draw
46.4%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Morecambe
vs
1.30
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).