Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Santander
23.1%
Draw
25.6%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Santander
vs
1.19
Granada
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).