Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
St Johnstone
25.2%
Draw
17.7%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
St Johnstone
vs
1.01
Ayr
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).