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30 Jan 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.1%
St. Gilloise
26.5%
Draw
11.4%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

St. Gilloise

vs
0.50

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS31.6%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.5%
2-0
15.3%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
10.7%
3-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).