Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
St. Gallen
19.0%
Draw
8.7%
Yverdon Sport
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
St. Gallen
vs
0.78
Yverdon Sport
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).