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AHT: 11CSV

20 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.5%
Montrose
25.5%
Draw
51.0%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Montrose

vs
1.71

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).