Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Sheffield United
22.8%
Draw
55.4%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Sheffield United
vs
2.18
Burnley
Markets
BTTS66.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-1
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
2-3
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).