Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Cartagena
25.3%
Draw
51.9%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Cartagena
vs
1.56
Girona
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).