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DHT: 11

24 Aug 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.4%
Queens Park Rangers
23.5%
Draw
23.2%
Plymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.25

Plymouth

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).