Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Margate
21.2%
Draw
33.3%
Horsham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Margate
vs
1.64
Horsham
Markets
BTTS68.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
7.1%
1-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).