Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Bristol City
30.8%
Draw
26.1%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Bristol City
vs
0.91
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).