Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
30.1%
Draw
41.5%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.32
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).