Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Sudtirol
31.0%
Draw
37.0%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Sudtirol
vs
1.19
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).