Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Lille
27.4%
Draw
18.1%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Lille
vs
0.65
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).