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28 Nov 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.7%
Stockport
18.4%
Draw
15.9%
Salford

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Stockport

vs
0.98

Salford

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).