Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Leganes
30.3%
Draw
31.5%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Leganes
vs
0.99
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).