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17 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Bromley
26.0%
Draw
32.0%
Chesterfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Bromley

vs
1.39

Chesterfield

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).