Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Toulouse
25.7%
Draw
34.4%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Toulouse
vs
1.24
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).