Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Brentford
26.5%
Draw
49.9%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Brentford
vs
1.65
Fulham
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).