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AHT: 02CSV

23 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.2%
Sivasspor
34.1%
Draw
23.7%
Antalyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Sivasspor

vs
0.97

Antalyaspor

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.1%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).