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26 Mar 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.0%
AFC Wimbledon
24.0%
Draw
26.0%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

AFC Wimbledon

vs
0.99

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).