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HHT: 10CSV

05 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Braintree Town
31.6%
Draw
38.2%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Braintree Town

vs
1.16

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).