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27 Apr 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.6%
Viking
21.1%
Draw
21.3%
Tromsø

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Viking

vs
1.15

Tromsø

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).