Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Las Palmas
25.5%
Draw
57.0%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Las Palmas
vs
1.59
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).