Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Villarreal
19.5%
Draw
13.6%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Villarreal
vs
0.87
Valencia
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.0%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).