Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Lowestoft Town
13.3%
Draw
27.8%
Newmarket Town
Expected Goals (xG)
4.57
Lowestoft Town
vs
3.41
Newmarket Town
Markets
BTTS95.7%
Over 0.5100.0%
Over 1.599.7%
Over 2.598.6%
Over 3.595.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-3
4.1%
5-3
3.8%
4-2
3.6%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
3.5%
5-2
3.3%
5-4
3.2%
3-2
3.2%
3-4
3.1%
4-5
2.4%
2-3
2.4%
5-5
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).