Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Rosenborg
21.4%
Draw
22.7%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Rosenborg
vs
1.20
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).