Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Fiorentina
21.8%
Draw
57.6%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Fiorentina
vs
1.90
Juventus
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-3
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-3
3.3%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).