Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Hoffenheim
18.1%
Draw
14.5%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Hoffenheim
vs
1.15
Hertha
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
5.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).