Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Cagliari
21.8%
Draw
62.2%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Cagliari
vs
1.84
Como
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.4%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).