Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Cheltenham
16.0%
Draw
22.0%
Buxton
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05
Cheltenham
vs
1.86
Buxton
Markets
BTTS80.3%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.595.5%
Over 2.586.7%
Over 3.572.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
4-2
4.6%
1-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
3-3
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).