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AHT: 11CSV

24 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.4%
Waasland-Beveren
12.6%
Draw
79.0%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Waasland-Beveren

vs
3.19

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.579.3%
Over 3.560.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-3
8.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-4
6.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-1
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-5
4.2%
0-5
4.0%
2-2
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).