Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Girona
26.9%
Draw
49.7%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Girona
vs
1.47
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).