Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Akhmat Grozny
28.7%
Draw
7.3%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Akhmat Grozny
vs
0.32
Fakel
Markets
BTTS21.6%
Over 0.581.2%
Over 1.552.4%
Over 2.524.9%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
24.1%
0-0
18.8%
2-0
17.6%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
0-2
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).