Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.6%
St. Gilloise
10.9%
Draw
2.4%
Seraing
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
St. Gilloise
vs
0.30
Seraing
Markets
BTTS24.4%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.4%
3-0
16.2%
1-0
13.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-0
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
1-1
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
0-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).