Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.7%
Ingolstadt
25.2%
Draw
62.1%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Ingolstadt
vs
1.71
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.4%
0-4
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).