Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Harborough Town
21.6%
Draw
45.3%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Harborough Town
vs
1.87
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).