Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Livorno
29.9%
Draw
41.6%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Livorno
vs
1.33
Palermo
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).