Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
Lugo
27.7%
Draw
53.4%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Lugo
vs
1.37
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.7%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).