Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Tranmere
21.9%
Draw
36.2%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Tranmere
vs
1.62
Sutton
Markets
BTTS65.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).