Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
IFK Göteborg
31.9%
Draw
31.1%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
IFK Göteborg
vs
1.04
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).