Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Hertha
25.5%
Draw
42.1%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Hertha
vs
1.69
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).