Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Freiburg
24.1%
Draw
48.8%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Freiburg
vs
1.87
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).