Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.8%
Doncaster
15.5%
Draw
10.7%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Doncaster
vs
0.82
Newport County
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-0
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).